From the fires of Turkey and the floods of China and Germany to the Arab heat waves .. What is happening to the world?!

During the first days of the current month of August, fires (1) devoured about 250 thousand acres along the Turkish coast on the Mediterranean and the Sea of Aegean, in a catastrophe that is the worst decades, so that you could have seen smoke, from the intensity of fires, inCities located at a distance of tens of kilometers.It caused about ten deaths so far, with hundreds of injuries, and a disturbance in the scope of tourism.

This is not the first time, during the past few years, in which a country faces unprecedented fires at enormous rates.The same area devoured, while the fires of Australia's forests (4) devoured about 12 million acres, which made it a global news center for long weeks.

Are all these fires related to climate change?There is no doubt an important question, and it is definitely going on in your mind and millions of millions with you around the world, but it is not only related to forest fires. During the past few weeks, unprecedented floods have struck both China, Germany and Belgium, in China only more than 300 people have died, toBesides, the whole world, especially our Arab region, is exposed to hot waves that are undoubtedly one of the most violent in the history of the whole measurement, we have not been accustomed to this before, and therefore we resort to the question: "What is happening here?!".

Well, there are no confirmed answers, of course, we cannot easily find a direct causal link between specific incidents and climate change, but we can prepare an important set of points that support that hypothesis, the first thing is - no doubt - the severe heat wave that was exposed (5)It has Turkey and the rest of the European countries during the past few weeks, as the temperatures in most countries exceeded the fortieth barrier, and with a rapid view of the average temperatures in European territory in general during the past years you will find that the last decade was the hottest due to climate change, and with the temperature the drought comes of course.

With dehydration, trees store less water, grow slowly and divorce less water vapor to the air, this leads to further dry leaves and trees death quickly, providing an appropriate environment for the spread of fires, especially as fires spread more in the absence of steamWater in the surrounding atmosphere, which mainly works to extinguish it if it starts, for this reason - and considering that the effects of climate change are increasing in an unprecedented way - there are expectations that the rates of forest fires will rise in the coming decades.

According to a research paper (6) issued one year ago in a wide -popular periodic period "Nature", the firefighting fires in the Amazon - for example - are not a natural event but a union between two elements;The first is the extreme drought, which is increasing day by day due to climate change, and the second is human activities that negatively affect the nature of those forests.

Now let's consider California forest fires in 2018.Since the 1980s of the last century, (7) has headed the size and intensity of the fires sweeping the American state to the top without stopping, fifteen of the twenty largest fires in the history of California have occurred since 2000.Since the seventies of the twentieth century, the area of the burned area in the state increased five times, in exchange for that, the average temperatures in the state increased during the same period..

The same applies to other climatic phenomena, in Europe, for example, a study published last June (8) sees that climate change is likely to increase the number of large, slow -moving storms, which can last for a long time in the areaOne, dependent on the occurrence of floods of the type that was seen in Germany and Belgium during the past month.

In addition, with the high temperature in the atmosphere, it also maintains more moisture, which means more rain, and given the future, it is expected that the heavy rains will increase by 50%(9) as the temperature continues to rise during the century.Present.Of course, the abundance of rain does not automatically lead to floods, but it increases the possibility of their occurrence, but even the medium quantities of rain can cause severe damage to urban areas.

Climate change restores the rainy system in the whole world, and you find that some areas will receive excessive rainfall in the form of severe rain waves, and you may think - for the first sight - that this may be beneficial to the areas in which it happens, but it is not, let's let us at that pointWe consider Yemen, which may be exposed, because of its geographical location, for more rain due to the high planet's average heat.But those rainy extremities cause severe storms, torrential torrents and floods (10), for example: in 2008, these phenomena caused losses estimated at about two billion dollars, equivalent to about 6% of the country's gross domestic product at the time..

All this and we have not yet talked about the effects of severe droughts, due to the global warming, on the soil as well, as it reduces dehydration from the Earth's ability to tolerate and absorb water, which may cause it more quickly and the high intensity of the flood.

As for the hot waves, it follows the same pattern, to understand the idea, let's consider a study published two years ago in the (11) "Science Advances" journal, links the rapid height by 0.5 degrees Celsius in the average temperatures in India during the period between 1960-2009 and the high rates of beating hot waves to them by 25-50% compared to the twenty-five years preceding that period..For the Arab world, this unfortunately is what is really happening, and a previous report can be reviewed by the writer entitled: “Do you feel that the weather is burning this week? This is only the beginning” (12) for more detail.

Imagine the environmental and climatic system as a huge network bound with great care through wires or thin rubber strings, which in turn are associated with more raised strings with our daily lives, we humans, if you hit one string from among them, then the whole network is shaken, which is not in our interest always, to understand the matter, let's travelTo September 2015, when a severe sandstorm struck the Middle East region, everyone described it as exceptional, the storm caused deaths and stopping public life in a number of areas.

Meanwhile, a research team from the University of Princeton (13) worked on studying that storm, to reveal the results that climate change, with other factors, was a major reason in that harsh climatic surprise, as droughts that included several regions in the Arab world -especially that this summer is thisThe year was unprecedentedly hot- raised the amount of dust available and caused more quantities to expel it to the atmosphere.No wonder, then, that the past 15 years have witnessed a rise in sandstorming rates in the Middle East region clearly.

In 2018, Egypt bought rice from the Black Sea and Europe at the highest price in three years (235.$ 65 per ton), and that is not the first time. During the previous twenty years, the prices of the grain increased are a clear rise, and the reason is the drought that strikes the areas that sell rice, which reduces productivity, increases the demand and the price rises.

In order to feed, a person was old in need of himself and his family only, cultivating food or looking for it over the trees, but now we do not depend in our food on our own surroundings, but on other countries that may be exposed to climate change problems and affect our future and our food and national security.

Not only that, but the major cities of the world are dependent on daily production and import systems (just in time) require a previously accurate planning so that no problems occur, therefore the high frequency of climate problems - such as nodes or hot waves - in a stateBangladesh, even for a day or two, may affect these supply systems.Remember what we have confirmed a little while ago: The whole world is one network, as soon as one of its parts is affected until the other is affected, on all levels, socially, politically and economically, you only do not notice that.

Waheed a poor century dies in Kenya, the temperature rises, and one of the construction workers falls unconscious in one of the Syrian villages.In the state of California, their homes are at lower prices because the level of water rises, people buy in the city of Rajeshi Bengali food at a greater price than usual because the climate affects the amount of agricultural production, the fruit shelf is empty in a Gulf city because the import movement has been suspended for days because of an unprecedented new storm, everythingLocated, we are all - we are facing something completely new, we get to know it day after day with these exceptional events and ask questions of the type "What is happening here?"We are amazed and surprised, it is climate change and has attended.

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Sources:

1. حرائق تركيا: ثمانية قتلى والنيران تلتهم غابات ومنتجعات سياحية
2. 2018 Fire Season
3. ?When will the Amazon hit a tipping point
4. 2019-2020 Australian Bushfires
5. Brutal heatwave scorches southern Europe as continent’s summer of extreme weather rages on
6. 21st Century drought-related fires counteract the decline of Amazon deforestation carbon emissions
7. Climate change is contributing to California’s fires
8. Quasi-Stationary Intense Rainstorms Spread Across Europe Under Climate Change
9. Flooding and Climate Change: Everything You Need to Know
10. Climate change and floods in Yemen
11. Increasing probability of mortality during Indian heat waves
12. هل تشعر أن الطقس مشتعل هذا الأسبوع؟ هذه هي البداية فقط
13. Giant Middle East dust storm caused by a changing climate, not human conflict
14. How Climate Change is Messing with Your Supply Chain